tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9603085568646649632024-03-08T15:31:44.596-08:00Ramblings of an American mindJoe Somebodyhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/18001144991442847688noreply@blogger.comBlogger4125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-960308556864664963.post-32303326417229353832014-02-05T12:05:00.001-08:002014-02-05T12:05:37.377-08:00The state of the union is strong?<span style="background-color: white; color: #333333; font-family: 'lucida grande', tahoma, verdana, arial, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; line-height: 17.940000534057617px;">Stock market? Fed manipulation? Social Security? Medicare/aid? Obamacare? War spending? Trade deficits? Inflationary pressure? What will ultimately be the "last straw"? It's not really what most people think. All of these are parts of a failing system, but I think the "last straw" will ultimately be something less direct. The current POTUS and Congress has been able to rack up massive amounts of debt with little short term consequence due to the current super low i</span><span class="text_exposed_show" style="background-color: white; color: #333333; display: inline; font-family: 'lucida grande', tahoma, verdana, arial, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; line-height: 17.940000534057617px;">nterest rates. But when those rates go back to normal levels, the consequences will be massively amplified. Think real estate bubble. If rates spike above historical norms due to inflationary pressure and/or defaults (and compounded defaults from not being able to pay the rising interest payments), the impact will be amplified exponentially. Currently the treasury is paying an average of < 2% on all the national debt. In the 1981 the treasury rates peaked at 20%. Currently about 9% of the total revenues of the Federal Government (including all types of taxes, tariffs and other receivables) on an annual basis go to paying interest on debt. If the rates went to 20% as they did in 1981, just the interest payments would quickly become more than 100% of all revenues. 1981 was bad, but the debt at that time was only about 1.5 x revenues. Today the debt is approaching 7 x revenues.<br /><br />In personal finance terms, it's the real equivalent of someone with a $50,000 salary, 5 of their own kids plus an adopted Hispanic kid with medical problems and an existing house payment racking up $350,000 in credit card debts at a 2% introductory rate and then having the the rates switch to their "normal" 12-20% rates. The big difference being the consequences of an individual declaring bankruptcy vs an entire country.</span><br />
<span class="text_exposed_show" style="background-color: white; color: #333333; display: inline; font-family: 'lucida grande', tahoma, verdana, arial, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; line-height: 17.940000534057617px;"><br /></span>
<span class="text_exposed_show" style="background-color: white; color: #333333; display: inline; font-family: 'lucida grande', tahoma, verdana, arial, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; line-height: 17.940000534057617px;">So what to do about it? Well, kicking the crooks that got us here out would be a start at least... <a href="http://ramblingamericanmind.blogspot.com/2013/11/comprehensive-plan.html">http://ramblingamericanmind.blogspot.com/2013/11/comprehensive-plan.html</a><br /><br />References:<br /><a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2013_United_States_federal_budget" rel="nofollow" style="color: #3b5998; cursor: pointer; text-decoration: none;" target="_blank">http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2013_United_States_federal_budget</a><br /><a href="http://www.treasurydirect.gov/govt/reports/pd/histdebt/histdebt_histo4.htm" rel="nofollow" style="color: #3b5998; cursor: pointer; text-decoration: none;" target="_blank">http://www.treasurydirect.gov/govt/reports/pd/histdebt/histdebt_histo4.htm</a><br /><a href="http://www.facebook.com/l.php?u=http%3A%2F%2Ffederal-budget.findthedata.org%2Fl%2F84%2F1981&h=5AQFBdnqm&enc=AZP2uvJiYcgMeekHy-aSycvtkHHf1-AcDPHr9UGcDMXLGL_nE63kkfXXE7ra3gD8OAW-SQarZjs7qi1tPggh97brvfM2M_TyYVZHRam8bGHIXpqcLBqT4LPo-1mlgqcsmEDh0zU-0iSGvFGjPmR1qc2t&s=1" rel="nofollow" style="color: #3b5998; cursor: pointer; text-decoration: none;" target="_blank">http://federal-budget.findthedata.org/l/84/1981</a><br /><a href="http://money.cnn.com/2014/02/04/news/economy/budget-outlook-interest-on-debt/index.html?hpt=hp_t2" rel="nofollow" style="color: #3b5998; cursor: pointer; text-decoration: none;" target="_blank">http://money.cnn.com/2014/02/04/news/economy/budget-outlook-interest-on-debt/index.html?hpt=hp_t2</a></span>Joe Somebodyhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/18001144991442847688noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-960308556864664963.post-84837404233194368552013-11-27T11:32:00.000-08:002013-11-27T11:42:05.873-08:00Comprehensive Plan<div class="MsoNormal">
The United States is self-destructing like never seen
before. The financial situation is
already well beyond the possibility of reversal through established political
channels. This is all well known and
documented by those who have been paying attention. So what do we do about it? Armed conflict (AKA civil war) is the obvious
answer that many have been talking about, but we have not quite come to that
yet. I have been thinking about this
problem and decided to see if I could come up with a plan for this country
roughly based on the recent Iceland government reformation that might avoid
armed conflict. Unfortunately at this
point it’s a bit of a “last ditch effort” as a literal culture war seems all
but inevitable, but I would like to think there are enough good people left
that could make this happen if they were well informed. One very key aspect of this plan though is
timing. Events are moving much to
rapidly for anyone to wait for anything.
The tipping point could be only days away at worst case. So everything must be done in the shortest
timeline possible for there to be any remote hope of success. No “waiting for the next election” to replace
the bad apples. The bad apples have to
be immediately removed to have any chance of success.<o:p></o:p><br />
<br />
<ol>
<li><span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif;"><span style="text-indent: -0.25in;">The first
and foremost problem and the primary driver behind how we got here is the
intense corruption of politicians with little accountability.</span><span style="text-indent: -0.25in;"> </span><span style="text-indent: -0.25in;">Even elected officials lie, commit felonies,
take bribes both legal and illegal, commit sedition, even kill people with
little or no consequences.</span><span style="text-indent: -0.25in;"> </span><span style="text-indent: -0.25in;">Not to
mention ignoring the voices of their constituents, or now even telling their
constituents what to do, what to say, how to think and how to believe.</span><span style="text-indent: -0.25in;"> </span><span style="text-indent: -0.25in;">If the media breaks a story on them, they
just issue a public apology and continue business as usual.</span><span style="text-indent: -0.25in;"> </span><span style="text-indent: -0.25in;">Not even resignations are common any longer
in these circumstances.</span><span style="text-indent: -0.25in;"> </span><span style="text-indent: -0.25in;">We see it almost
every day in the news now but little is done beyond paying lip service.</span><span style="text-indent: -0.25in;"> </span><span style="text-indent: -0.25in;">It continues to get worse because no one
enforces any consequences, so each time it happens they just get more
bold.</span><span style="text-indent: -0.25in;"> </span><span style="text-indent: -0.25in;">There must be a “grass roots” will
to enforce swift consequences on any politician from the local level to the
federal level that fails to uphold the integrity of their office , fulfill the
oath of their office, or just plain do their job.</span><span style="text-indent: -0.25in;"> </span><span style="text-indent: -0.25in;">I believe that starts with recalls.</span><span style="text-indent: -0.25in;"> </span><span style="text-indent: -0.25in;">Later, prosecution of crimes will be needed
as well, but that will be inconsistent as long as the corrupt power base controls
the courts and justice departments.</span></span><span style="text-indent: -0.25in;"> </span></li>
<li><span style="text-indent: -0.25in;"><span style="line-height: 115%;"><span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif;">The
next problem is the scope creep and definition shift of the government
structure. Our constitutional republic
was not designed to control every aspect of our lives, neither is it a
democracy. Those who have tried to
convince the populace that we are a democracy and shift the structure to be “democracy
like” have just created a huge mess of a system that can no longer balance
itself. The most obvious part of this
would be the goal of repealing the 17<sup>th</sup> and 23<sup>rd</sup> amendments. In like manner, restore/change local
governmental structures to follow the republic model more closely. Senators should never be elected by a general
popular vote, that defeats the purpose of having a senate. Representatives are to always be elected by
popular vote, that is the purpose of the house.
On a state level, senators could be elected by county commissioners as
the elected representatives of a county.
The current systems in place in most states having population based “districts”
of popular vote mirrors the federal system in it’s unbalanced distribution of
power. If these changes were applied at
both the state and national levels, it would restore the balance of regional
vs. population center influences in lawmaking.
Specifically with the 23<sup>rd</sup> amendment repeal, the District of Columbia
was setup as a federal reserve specifically to prevent self serving interests
from having disproportional influence in the federal government. In simple terms, by nature any congressional
representative elected by the district of Columbia has a conflict of
interests. All similar situations on
federal and local levels should be identified and scrutinized through this
filter. This MUST start at the state
level, recalling representatives that don’t represent and invoking Petition/Referendum/Ballot
Measure systems available in the states to push the changes.</span></span></span></li>
<li><span style="text-indent: -0.25in;"><span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; line-height: 18px;">Once items 1 and 2 have momentum, there will be more opportunity to fix the many things that are tearing the country apart. The first opportunity there is laws that automatically holds politicians accountable to a common standard WITH irrevocable consequences (extending the idea of point #1). One politician should not have the power to pardon crimes their peers have been convicted of. A politician should not be able to vote on something that would personally benefit them directly or indirectly (for instance, senators and representatives from a particular state would be prohibited from voting on anything that includes any provision that specifically benefits that state). One solution to how to implement this would be a special jury system. Citizens or government bodies could petition for a jury review independent of the “justice departments” and district attorneys who have the power to arbitrarily decide if a particular case is worthy of review. This would invoke an automatic process where a random jury of citizens (think grand jury only invoked automatically by due process instead of at the whim of a district attorney or justice dept) would be called on to review all available evidence (with summons and warrant powers). If found guilty of breaking the oath and/or integrity of office (especially in regards to conflicts of interest), the defendant would be automatically removed from office and subsequently prosecuted traditionally according to criminal codes if applicable. This would eliminate the “good old boy” system of politicians covering each other’s backsides or crucifying outcasts in “ethics” committees and remove the burdensome requirement of general population base involvement to force consequences on a politician’s actions.</span></span></li>
</ol>
</div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
After these things are addressed, it would open up the
possibility at least to fix the other pressing problems we face. <o:p></o:p></div>
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<br />
<ul>
<li><span style="font-family: Symbol; text-indent: -0.25in;">·<span style="font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 7pt;">
</span></span><span style="text-indent: -0.25in;">Burdensome laws that interfere with our daily
lives</span></li>
<li><span style="font-family: Symbol; text-indent: -0.25in;">·<span style="font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 7pt;">
</span></span><span style="text-indent: -0.25in;">Burdensome taxes (eventually) </span></li>
<li><span style="font-family: Symbol; text-indent: -0.25in;">·<span style="font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 7pt;">
</span></span><span style="text-indent: -0.25in;">Wasteful spending on things not in the general
interest of the country</span></li>
<li><span style="font-family: Symbol; text-indent: -0.25in;">·<span style="font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 7pt;">
</span></span><span style="text-indent: -0.25in;">Entitlement programs that don’t work</span></li>
<li><span style="font-family: Symbol; text-indent: -0.25in;">·<span style="font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 7pt;">
</span></span><span style="text-indent: -0.25in;">Wars that nobody wants</span></li>
</ul>
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I could add a hundred more points and detail solutions, and
maybe someday I will. But none of it
will be possible unless the above three major reforms are implemented. <o:p></o:p></div>
<br />
<div class="MsoNormal">
There are some who seem to actually like the idea of civil
war and anarchy. For those of you who may be reading this, I
encourage you to look at this as a war on corruption, just an alternative way
instead of using guns and bullets. That
said, my root purpose is to not be tread upon as a citizen so if the above fails:
<em><span style="background: white; color: #444444; font-family: "Arial","sans-serif"; font-style: normal; mso-bidi-font-weight: bold;">ΜΟΛΩΝ ΛΑΒΕ suckas!<o:p></o:p></span></em><br />
<em><span style="background: white; color: #444444; font-family: "Arial","sans-serif"; font-style: normal; mso-bidi-font-weight: bold;"><br /></span></em>
<em><span style="background: white; color: #444444; font-family: "Arial","sans-serif"; font-style: normal; mso-bidi-font-weight: bold;">If you like what you read, I encourage you to share like/share/tweet/post. If you would like to discuss it, send me an email:)</span></em></div>
Joe Somebodyhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/18001144991442847688noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-960308556864664963.post-61433727403759953652008-07-28T14:23:00.000-07:002008-07-28T14:57:39.855-07:00Little bit of techie musing todayWell, it's usually entertaining to watch two companies compete. Duking it out and all that. The customers (a group which I often find myself a part of) usually win no matter which company wins anyway so I enjoy it. Ahhh, economics.<br /><br />http://vmware.com/company/news/releases/esxi_pricing.html<br /><br />Today's headlines hi-light a battle between virtualization giant VMware and bigger software giant Microsoft. VMware has dominated the niche market of virtualization and even grown it beyond a niche by convincing the world that it would solve all your problems and save your company millions. While such situations do exist, most small companies impliment virtualization only to wonder later if it really was worth the time and is really saving them any money (alas, in some cases it can really hurt a company if implimented for the wrong reasons). <br /><br />Getting beyond the back story though, we have the battle. Titan #1 being the incumbant VMware with it's array of specialized products. Titan #2 being the circumspect Microsoft, wanting a piece of this market that has been historically very profitable for VMware. A few years ago Microsoft started offering it's own virtualization technologies with Microsoft VirtualPC and VirtualServer. VirtualPC was as still is kinda handy for developers to have test environments...but VMware has stayed ahead of the curve in offerings for that niche and really is a separate discussion from what we have on the table for today. Microsoft virtualserver was just plain bad. It was hard to administer and performance was shall we say "less then desirable". Adoption was very limited and VMware continued to dominate. <br /><br />Then along came Windows Server 2008 with "Hyper-V", the replacement for Microsoft VirtualServer. The initial looks were wary but there was some things about it that had people starting to talk. I'm sure VMware started watching closely at that point. They responded by offering their most basic server software for free. Then a couple weeks ago, Microsoft finally released the Hyper-V module for Server 2008 to production. The final product was impressive. Not only is compatability with microsoft operating systems more tight, but also many of the more high end features are now available and performance is impressive to say the least. And to top it off, it's a free download for Windows 2008 server. Which brings us to today, and this latest announcement from VMWare that they will now offer their ESXi server software for FREE! <br /><br />I'm sure there will be many that get very excited about ESXi being free. Certainly for anyone who was already planning to buy the specific hardware that can run ESXi server. But for my company at least, it is just an interesting news article. First of all, too little too late. They should have done this a few weeks ago...BEFORE Microsoft released Hyper-V. We made our decision to commit to Hyper-V then given the economics of the situation at that time. Secondly, it is still a decision to be considered carefully for some: does one commit to buying very specific hardware (such as the Dell lines that support ESXi server), or does one allow for more hardware flexibility and go with Hyper-V??? One could really muddy the waters and throw in VirtualIron as an option...but they are not well known and have the same drawback of limited hardware support that ESXi server suffers. Anyway, not to digress I will move on. <br /><br />If VMware really wants to stick it to Microsoft, they are going to have to do something even more drastic...like making the full blown ESX server free and just charging for the add-on features and support. <br /><br />I will continue to watch with interest, even though my personal path will be moving away from VMware. We have already committed to Hyper-V and there is little reason for us to turn back now. I would like to see healthy competition though. There is room enough in the market for both companies to offer good products and make money. But VMware is going to have to be satisfied with a smaller share and Microsoft is going to have to keep on top of it's technology for balance to be sustainable.Joe Somebodyhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/18001144991442847688noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-960308556864664963.post-250328059759805722008-07-25T12:52:00.000-07:002008-07-25T13:12:42.241-07:00Obama in France...and all overSo I read these headlines this morning... <br /><h1 style="font-family: arial;"><a href="http://news.yahoo.com/s/afp/20080725/wl_afp/usvoteobama_080725183103"><span style="font-size:85%;">Obama thanks Sarkozy for Afghan troops, says US loves France</span></a></h1>(click the headline to read the article)<br /><br />I have a few problems with these events. First and foremost, where does this Obama guy get off telling anyone that the US loves France? The US has not had much love for France since the Revolutionary War days. But especially since the last couple world wars. I never have to go far to meet someone with some good French jokes. Even my travels to Canada have revealed some people not-to-enamored with the French (and they have a French speaking province!). Further, France is more or less the biggest political rival of the US in Europe. <br /><br />Getting beyond the simple misrepresentation face of it though, where does Obama get off playing president by making any sort of statement at all? He is not the President (yet anyway), he is not a duely appointed ambassedor, he is just a Senator. Senators have power to represent their state, but do not have the authority to go trapsing about the globe on campaign funds presuming to be spokesmen for the entire nation. I was willing to let the whole middle east tour slide as he didn't actually do anything there that I knew about that was really technically beyond his office. But this French visit and statements is clearly crossing a line. <br /><br />Meanwhile, people in Congress are having "non-impeachment" hearings. What the @#$%^ is that??? Nobody is held accountable for anything anymore appearantly. The current president is accused of various crimes and clearly overstepping his authority, the appearant incoming president is commencing to do the same and nobody is willing to do anything about it or even try.<br /><br />Sorry if it sounds like I really have my lacy french panties in a bunch...but this really irks me! (For the record, I don't actually wear lacy french panties...I leave that to the men who live in France)Joe Somebodyhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/18001144991442847688noreply@blogger.com0